World Business Council for Sustainable Development 7d ago

The latest warning from the World Meteorological Organization underlines that El Niño conditions are expected to emerge in 2026, with an 80% probability for June to August and a roughly 90% chance of persisting thereafter. For business leaders, this is not simply a seasonal climate update. It is a near-term signal that climate variability is interacting with an already warmer baseline, increasing the likelihood and severity of heat stress, drought, flooding, marine impacts and supply disruption across value chains. This briefing should help members understand why El Niño matters now, what types of shocks it can trigger across operations, sourcing, logistics and markets, and how this moment reinforces the case for more proactive resilience planning.