Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime 39d ago

As the war in Ukraine continues, Europe faces a growing threat: the spillover of illegal weapons into organized crime networks. In this video, researcher and analyst Aleksandar Srbinovski gives insights to the illicit arms trade, rising black market prices, and the risks posed to Europe — drawing on fieldwork, police data, and journalist sources. He also outlines what lessons from the Western Balkans can teach us about minimizing this threat. Chapters: 00:00 Introduction 00:16 Europe's current safety & the post-war risk 01:05 Fieldwork evidence & Ukrainian police seizures 01:40 Sanctions gaps and how commercial entities exploit the conflict 02:10 Eastern Europe's future risk and lessons from the Western Balkans 02:46 Military-grade weapons and drone proliferation 03:15 Black market prices rising – what it signals