El Niño 2026-2027: monitoring, forecasting and expected impacts in the energy sector in LAC

El Niño 2026-2027: monitoring, forecasting and expected impacts in the energy sector in LAC

In light of the latest World Meteorological Organization (WMO) El Niño Update indicating an 80% probability of El Niño conditions developing during June–August 2026 and a 90% probability of persisting through at least November, with the potential to reach moderate or strong intensity, it is essential to strengthen preparedness and risk management across climate-sensitive sectors. El Niño is expected to influence temperature and rainfall patterns throughout the Americas, increasing the likelihood of heatwaves, droughts, heavy rainfall, flooding and disruptions to water availability, all of which can have significant implications for energy generation, transmission, demand management and energy security. As a joint effort between OLACDE and WMO, this webinar is being organized to provide energy-sector institutions, regulators, utilities, system operators, development partners and other key stakeholders with the latest scientific information and regional prediction from the WMO community, while facilitating the exchange of experiences, good practices and contingency measures implemented during previous El Niño events. The discussion will focus on strengthening climate-informed decision-making, enhancing operational preparedness, identifying vulnerabilities in hydropower and energy infrastructure, and promoting coordinated actions to reduce risks and increase the resilience of energy systems across the Americas. Consistent with WMO recommendations, the webinar will support the use of seasonal forecasts and early warnings as tools for proactive planning and risk reduction.