ACLED 75d ago

While negotiations between Israel and Lebanon are drawing international attention, the situation on the ground reflects a different set of dynamics. Ongoing hostilities remain concentrated between Israel and Hezbollah, while the Lebanese state faces structural constraints in influencing outcomes. Regional actors also play a significant role in shaping the conflict's trajectory. In his interview with the @BBCNews, ACLED Lebanon & Jordan Researcher Bassel Doueik says battlefield developments — particularly in southern Lebanon — may ultimately determine the prospects for a ceasefire. #Lebanon #Israel #Ceasefire #PoliticalViolence #MiddleEast