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Forecasting where violence may move next
Forecasting where violence may move next means understanding how conflict takes shape on the ground. It means looking at the actors involved, the types of events taking place, how violence spreads, and how civilians are being targeted.
At the @DataforPeace Conference 2026, ACLED’s Head of Data Science Katayoun Kishi, discussed how this kind of forecasting can offer clearer insight into risks facing operations, communities, and staff in conflict-affected areas.
